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The White House divided: Should Ukraine retaliate inside Russia?

A fierce debate rages within the Biden administration over whether to allow Ukraine to use U.S.-supplied weapons to strike targets in Russia.

This policy change, which the president has long resisted for fear of escalation, is gaining ground as Russia continues its offensive.

Secretary of State Antony Blinken, following a sobering recent visit to Kyiv, is spearheading efforts to ease restrictions.

He claims that Russia's recent territorial gains are a direct result of its ability to launch attacks just across the border in Ukraine, putting kyiv at a significant disadvantage.

“These targets – missile and artillery launch sites – allowed Moscow to advance,” Blinken reportedly argued, according to The New York Times. “We’re just empowering them to defend themselves more effectively.”

Ukraine feels paralyzed by restrictions

This feeling is shared by Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky.

“This inability to fire American missiles at military targets in Russia gives Moscow a huge advantage,” he told the newspaper. Times.

Ukrainian forces are currently limited to using American-made weapons on targets in Ukraine, hampering their ability to respond to the source of attacks.

A fierce debate rages within the Biden administration over whether to allow Ukraine to use U.S.-supplied weapons to strike targets in Russia.

This policy change, which the president has long resisted for fear of escalation, is gaining ground as Russia continues its offensive.

Secretary of State Antony Blinken, following a sobering recent visit to Kyiv, is spearheading efforts to ease restrictions.

He claims that Russia's recent territorial gains are a direct result of its ability to launch attacks just across the border in Ukraine, putting kyiv at a significant disadvantage.

“These targets – missile and artillery launch sites – allowed Moscow to advance,” Blinken reportedly argued, according to The New York Times. “We’re just empowering them to defend themselves more effectively.”

Ukraine feels paralyzed by restrictions

This feeling is shared by Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky.

“This inability to fire American missiles at military targets in Russia gives Moscow a huge advantage,” he told the newspaper. Times.

Ukrainian forces are currently limited to using American-made weapons on targets in Ukraine, hampering their ability to respond to the source of attacks.

The recent decision by Britain, a staunch US ally, adds pressure to the debate.

They have quietly lifted restrictions on their long-range “Storm Shadow” cruise missiles, allowing them to be used more widely against Russian forces.

The shift suggests a growing consensus among Western countries that Ukraine needs more offensive capabilities.

An M31 GMLRS, with a range greater than 70 kilometers (43 miles), launched from an M270A1 MLRS. (Image source: DVIDS)

Biden remains cautious, fearing an escalation

However, President Biden remains the biggest obstacle.

Haunted by the specter of a larger war, he always prioritized restraint.

We hope that they will continue to use the weapons we have provided them on targets in Ukraine.Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin III reiterated, echoing the administration's long-standing position.

The imminent threat of nuclear weapons

The potential consequences of authorizing strikes in Russia are a major concern.

Russia has repeatedly threatened to escalate the conflict, including by considering the possibility of deploying tactical nuclear weapons.

Although some, like former State Department official Victoria Nuland, view this as bluster, the risk cannot be entirely dismissed.

“I think if the attacks are coming directly from Russia, these bases should be a fair target,” Nuland argued on “This Week” on ABC.

She believes that the potential benefits of paralyzing Russian launch sites outweigh the risks of escalation.

Russia demonstrates military strength

Further complicating the debate are recent Russian military exercises involving tactical nuclear weapons, seen by some as a direct response to U.S. discussions about lifting restrictions.

This show of force highlights the potential dangers involved.

However, the administration seems less influenced by these threats than in the past.

Memories of earlier Russian nuclear concerns, which ultimately proved unfounded, have encouraged some to take a tougher stance.

History suggests Biden could move

This shift in thinking aligns with Nuland's experience. As a more hawkish official within the administration, she had previously advocated for sending increasingly sophisticated weapons to Ukraine, each time overcoming President Biden's initial hesitation without triggering a broader war.

This story gives hope that the current debate could end the same way.

Ultimately, the decision rests with President Biden.

He must weigh the potential benefits of strengthening Ukraine's defenses against the risk of an uncontrollable escalation.

The pressure to act is growing, both within his administration and in Ukraine.

The coming days could determine whether the United States changes course, potentially altering the course of the war and redrawing acceptable lines of action in this devastating and drawn-out conflict.

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