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Nvidia has 'almost no chance' of surpassing Bitcoin this decade, experts say

In light of Nvidia's (NASDAQ: NVDA) impressive performance over the past decade, finance and cryptocurrency experts are now anticipating a significant shift, predicting that the tech giant has “almost no chance” to outperform Bitcoin (BTC) over the coming decade.

The forecast is part of a broader debate about the changing dynamics between high-growth traditional tech stocks like Nvidia and growing digital currencies like Bitcoin.

Semiconductor industry leader Nvidia recently celebrated a remarkable milestone with its stock price surging following the latest earnings report.

This increase contributed to an overall return of 21,558% between May 2014 and May 2024, growth largely fueled by the company's pioneering efforts in artificial intelligence (AI) and gaming technologies.

A post Kobeissi's letter on May 25 highlighted this extraordinary performance:

“$NVDA has officially joined the exclusive club of 250,000%+ all-time returns. $10,000 invested in Nvidia in 1999 would be worth $25.3 million today.

Despite these impressive gains, Bitcoin has become a formidable competitor. It returned 13,048% over the same period, with recent trends suggesting even greater potential.

Notably, the 90-day correlation coefficient between Bitcoin and the Nasdaq 100 Index rose to 0.46 last week, marking the highest level since late August.

This reflects Bitcoin's growing alignment with traditional financial markets, a trend highlighted by its comparison to high-growth tech stocks.

Correlation index. Source: Bloomberg

Cory KlipstenCEO of Swan BitcoinAnd Lyn Aldena noted investment strategist, expressed skepticism about Nvidia's ability to replicate the success of the last decade.

They highlight the benefits of Bitcoin, such as its integration into traditional financial products, including the recently approved Bitcoin ETFs, and its potential to overtake traditional assets due to its decentralized nature and extensive network effects.

The recent approval of Bitcoin spot ETFs on January 10 was a milestone that further legitimized Bitcoin as a mainstream investment option, increasing its returns to 31.7% since then.

This slight advantage compared to Nvidia's 30.2% during the same period highlights growing investor confidence in Bitcoin, aligning it with growth trajectories typically associated with high-growth technology stocks.

Daniel Sempere Pico And Sina Since 21st.capital commented on the potential of financial networks and widespread adoption of Bitcoin to drive more sustainable long-term growth compared to Nvidia's AI-driven advances.

They argue that while Nvidia's AI innovations are impactful, Bitcoin's broader applications in global financial systems present a more compelling investment narrative, suggesting the future of investing could increasingly moving towards digital currencies rather than traditional technology giants.

Nvidia and BTC analysis: a comparative look at market performance

BTC and NVDA comparison. Source: TradingView

From January 1, 2024 to May 25, 2024, BTC-USD and NVIDIA demonstrated distinct trading patterns and growth trajectories, reflecting their unique market positions and investor sentiments.

Bitcoin has shown significant volatility, with prices ranging from around $39,450 to $73,750, resulting in a 63% year-to-date increase.

This volatility, highlighted by frequent overvaluation and undervaluation signals in the Relative Strength Index (RSI), highlights the speculative nature of Bitcoin, influenced by various investor behaviors and market dynamics.

In contrast, NVIDIA showed strong growth, with its stock price rising from $475 to $1,064, an increase of about 115% year to date.

The stability of NVIDIA's RSI suggests consistent market sentiment and fewer fluctuations attributed to its continued advancements in the AI ​​and semiconductor sectors, which are vital for technological innovation and its impact across various industries.

As Bitcoin increasingly competes with leading tech stocks, its transformative role in the investment landscape becomes more and more pronounced.

With wider adoption and alignment with financial markets, digital currencies are poised to dominate future growth, potentially eclipsing even the most established tech giants.

Disclaimer: The content of this site should not be considered investment advice. The investment is speculative. When you invest, your capital is at risk.

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