NHC identifies area of ​​Gulf near Florida with low chance of tropical development | Follow the tropics

GULF OF MEXICO (The Weather Channel) — A trough over the eastern Gulf of Mexico is expected to produce heavy rain across Florida and there is a low chance of a tropical depression forming off the southeast coast of the United States later this week, according to National Hurricane. Center.

No chance of that happening would happen until it's east of Florida or off the southeast coast late this week. The NHC has designated the eastern Gulf trough of low pressure “Invest 90L,” a procedure it uses to identify features it is monitoring for development.

Either way, there is heavy rain and the risk of flooding, and it's not just a summer scenario of 'sunny morning followed by a passing afternoon thunderstorm'. The latest radar below shows where precipitation is currently spreading across the state.

Early next week, computer forecast models suggest that the pattern of aboveground layers will change subtly enough to drag this conveyor belt of deep tropical moisture westward.

This would bring locally heavy rain to parts of the Gulf Coast from the Florida Panhandle west to Louisiana or Texas. Exactly where these heaviest rains might fall remains uncertain at this time.

This change could also give the Florida peninsula a break from heavy rains.

Typically, June tropical development occurs in the Gulf of Mexico, the far northwest Caribbean Sea, or off the southeast coast of the United States.

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