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James Reyes leads sheriff race, Donald Trump endorsement not enough to sway GOP primary

Democratic head of public safety James Reyes is the most popular of 17 candidates running for Miami-Dade sheriff, according to a poll by his campaign that shows his Donald Trump-the approved opponent is not likely to win their Primary.

An investigation this month by Reyes' senior campaign adviser, Christian Ulvert, found that 38.5 percent of likely voters in the county plan to vote for him. 29.5% say they support Miami-Dade Deputy Police Chief Rosie Cordero StutzWHO received a nod from Trump last month.

The problem for Cordero-Stutz, Ulvert found, is that she doesn't appear to have the support needed to emerge victorious in the Republican Primary. Most Decided GOP Voters Prefer Florida Highway Patrol Trooper Joe Sanchezwho scored similarly in a theoretical head-to-head matchup against Reyes in an Ulvert poll conducted in March.

For its latest poll, Ulvert reported surveying 1,792 likely Miami-Dade voters from May 15-20. Democrats hold a 6.5-point lead over Republicans in the county; however, it modeled the poll with Democratic voter turnout of +5 to reflect “turnout trends over presidential election cycles.”

This increase could be canceled out – or doubled – by the poll's 4.8 percentage point margin of error.

Twenty-one percent of Republicans surveyed say they plan to vote for Sanchez in a Republican primary. Seven percent say they will support retired Miami-Dade police major. Mario Knappwhile 6% are behind Cordero-Stutz and 3% prefer the Miami-Dade police major. Jose Aragu.

This order of preference aligns with levels during which each candidate raised money for their campaign.

Image via Christian Ulvert.

Five percent of Republican respondents say they support another candidate. A whopping 58% remain undecided.

The poll did not take into account three Democrats running against Reyes, who led the 17 candidates on both sides of the political aisle in Fund raising until March 31.

Other Democrats running include Miami-Dade police Maj. John Barrowformer federal agent Susan Khoury and retired Miami-Dade Lt. Ricky Mitchell.

In February, the mayor of Miami-Dade Daniella Levine Cava supported Reyes, whom she selected last year to lead the county corrections department and later promoted to public safety chief. Barrow called the endorsement of Levine Cava, who also uses Ulvert as an advisor, “disrespectful to voters.”

Other Republicans running include Iggy Alvarez, Bishop Jaspen, Ruamen DelaRua, Alex Fornet, Jeffrey Giordano, Orly Lopez, Rolando Riera, John Rivera And Ernie Rodriguez. All are current or former law enforcement professionals.

The primary election will be held on August 20, followed by the general election on November 5.

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